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Charizard ex 199 Scarlet & Violet 151 PSA + CGC Pop Report: Rarity vs Price (2026)

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Charizard ex #199 from Scarlet & Violet 151 is a high-demand card with a significant PSA 10 population, making it a commodity in the current market. At a PSA 10 median of $1,788 and a raw price of $427.00, collectors should HOLD this card to capitalize on its established value rather than buying in at current graded prices or skipping altogether.

The 90-day median PSA 10 for Charizard ex #199 is $1,788. The raw floor is $427.00. The gap between them is your entire thesis: a substantial premium exists for graded examples, reflecting sustained collector interest despite a rapidly growing population. This dynamic places the card in a unique position within the Scarlet & Violet 151 set, making its long-term trajectory a fascinating case study for collectors and investors alike. PSA and CGC have certified a combined 28,720 copies of Charizard ex #199 at Gem Mint 10 (27,212 PSA + 1,829 CGC). At $1,788 median, that works out to a 4.18x multiplier versus the raw price. Last updated: April 2026.

In This Article

• The Population Report

• Reading the Scarcity Signal

• Rarity × Demand Quadrant

• What the Pop Data Says About Grading New Copies

• The Verdict

• Where to Buy

• Frequently Asked Questions

The Population Report

The grading landscape for Pokémon cards can be a complex ecosystem, with population reports serving as the definitive ledger for a card’s scarcity and market perception. For the highly sought-after Charizard ex #199 from the Scarlet & Violet 151 set, the numbers offer a clear picture of its current status.

97,436 total graded across PSA and CGC (93,044 PSA + 4,392 CGC), median PSA 10 sells for $1,799.00.

PSA’s own summary data indicates a total certified count of 95,360, with 27,212 achieving the coveted Gem Mint 10 grade. This aligns closely with the PriceCharting data, which shows 26,891 PSA 10s and 1,829 CGC 10s, bringing the total to 28,720 for the highest grade. The vast majority of graded Charizard ex #199 cards fall into the PSA 9 category, with 45,544 copies certified, further emphasizing the difficulty of achieving a perfect score. The combined total of PSA 9 and PSA 10 copies stands at a substantial 73,572, making the “investable rate” (PSA 9 and 10) a healthy 77% of all PSA-graded cards.

Data sources: Prices cited above reflect eBay sold comps, PriceCharting market prices, and PriceCharting pop page (PSA + CGC) and PSA public API. All figures as of April 2026.

Reading the Scarcity Signal

The population report for Charizard ex #199 paints a picture of a card that, while immensely popular, is far from rare in its graded form. With 27,212 copies achieving a PSA 10 grade out of a total of 95,360 certified cards, the gem-mint rate stands at a respectable 29%. While this number might seem decent, in the context of modern Pokémon releases, it firmly places this card in the “saturated” scarcity tier. This means that while demand is undeniably high, the sheer volume of high-grade copies entering the market significantly dilutes the rarity factor for those looking to acquire a PSA 10.

To put this into perspective, consider the Obsidian Flames Charizard ex #222. While also a chase card from a popular set, its PSA 10 population is considerably lower, creating a more pronounced scarcity premium. Similarly, older Charizard variants from sets with more limited print runs and fewer grading submissions inherently possess a higher degree of rarity, even if their raw population numbers are not as astronomically high as modern cards. The 29% gem-mint rate for Charizard ex #199 indicates that while many collectors are submitting this card, a significant portion are not achieving the perfect grade, but the absolute number of PSA 10s is still substantial.

Rarity × Demand Quadrant

When evaluating any collectible card, understanding its position on the Rarity × Demand Quadrant is crucial for making informed decisions. For Charizard ex #199 from Scarlet & Violet 151, the data firmly places it in the “High Pop + High Demand” quadrant. The “High Pop” aspect is undeniable, with 27,212 PSA 10 copies certified, representing a significant supply. The “High Demand” is evidenced by its consistent presence in sales charts, its robust raw price point of $427.00, and the substantial median PSA 10 price of $1,788. This combination suggests a card that functions more like a commodity within the Pokémon TCG market – highly liquid and consistently traded, but with limited potential for exponential price growth driven purely by scarcity.

This quadrant signifies a market where the card’s value is primarily supported by consistent collector acquisition rather than the thrill of hunting for a rare find. While the premium for a PSA 10 over a raw copy is significant (a 4.18x multiplier), the sheer volume of graded cards means that the market is well-supplied to meet this demand. Consequently, while holding value is expected, dramatic price surges driven by supply constraints are less likely for this particular card.

What the Pop Data Says About Grading New Copies

The population numbers for Charizard ex #199 offer a stark warning to those considering submitting new raw copies for grading in the hopes of a quick profit. With 27,212 PSA 10s already certified, the grade is definitively “pop-saturated.” This means that each new Gem Mint 10 entering the market only marginally impacts the overall rarity, and more importantly, potentially dilutes the value of existing PSA 10s. The break-even point for submitting a raw card, factoring in a $25 grading fee and an estimated 13% in selling fees, would require a raw price significantly lower than the current $427.00 to be profitable if aiming for a PSA 10.

For instance, if a collector acquired a Charizard ex #199 raw for $300, the grading fee and selling fees would eat into any potential profit if the PSA 10 median remained at $1,788. The cost of acquisition plus grading ($300 + $25 + ~$232 in fees based on a $1,788 sale) would approach or exceed the current sellable price. Therefore, any decision to grade new copies should be based on a deep conviction in the potential for the card’s market price to rise substantially, rather than relying on the current grading premium alone. This saturation means that the true value lies in already-owned graded specimens rather than a gamble on new submissions.

The Verdict

For the Charizard ex #199 from Scarlet & Violet 151, the clear recommendation is to HOLD. With a substantial 27,212 copies already graded at PSA 10 and a median price of $1,788, this card has established itself as a strong performer with consistent demand. While the “saturated” scarcity tier means new grading submissions are unlikely to drive significant price appreciation, the existing volume of high-grade copies ensures liquidity and sustained interest from collectors.

Buying in at current graded prices for a PSA 10 would mean entering at a premium that is unlikely to see substantial growth due to the sheer volume of available graded cards. Conversely, skipping this card would mean missing out on an already proven performer in one of the most iconic Pokémon sets of recent years. The current market conditions and population report suggest that holding onto existing PSA 10 copies is the most prudent strategy, allowing you to benefit from its solid market presence without the risk associated with high entry costs or the limited upside of new grading submissions.

Where to Buy

For collectors looking to acquire or add to their collection of Charizard ex #199, the market offers several avenues. The primary hub for graded Pokémon cards remains eBay, where a vast number of auctions and fixed-price listings are available daily.

Check active graded listings on eBay

For those seeking raw copies to potentially grade themselves or to hold as part of a binder collection, TCGPlayer often provides competitive pricing and a wide selection from various vendors.

Browse raw copies on TCGPlayer

When purchasing raw cards, always pay close attention to the condition descriptions and seller ratings to ensure you are getting the best possible value. For graded cards, compare recent sold prices and the specific grade to make an informed decision.

Pro Tip: Given the high PSA 10 population of Charizard ex #199, focus your purchasing strategy on acquiring already graded cards that exhibit near-perfect centering and minimal surface flaws, even if they are not technically a PSA 10. Such cards can often be found at a discount compared to perfect Gem Mint copies and may appreciate more steadily if they are later re-graded or if the market shifts in favor of cards with superior aesthetic appeal.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Charizard ex #199 a good investment?

Yes, Charizard ex #199 is generally considered a solid card to hold for collectors and investors, given its strong demand and established PSA 10 median of $1,788. However, due to its high population count (27,212 PSA 10s), significant price appreciation driven by rarity is unlikely.

What is the rarity tier of Charizard ex #199?

Charizard ex #199 falls into the “saturated” scarcity tier. With 28,720 combined PSA + CGC 10 copies certified, the market is well-supplied, meaning the card’s value is primarily driven by demand rather than limited availability of high-grade examples.

How does the PSA 10 population affect the card’s value?

A high PSA 10 population, like that of Charizard ex #199, means that the premium for a Gem Mint grade over a raw card may stabilize or even decrease over time as more copies enter the market. It also makes it less profitable to submit new raw cards for grading as an investment strategy.

Should I buy raw or graded Charizard ex #199?

For immediate collection value and market stability, buying graded Charizard ex #199 (PSA 10) is recommended, leveraging its current $1,788 median. Buying raw for $427.00 carries the risk of not achieving a Gem Mint grade, making it a less certain investment path for most collectors.

What is the multiplier for Charizard ex #199 PSA 10?

The current multiplier for Charizard ex #199 PSA 10 is approximately 4.18x, based on a PSA 10 median of $1,788 and a raw price of $427.00. This indicates a significant premium for graded cards, though this premium is influenced by the high submission rates.

Is Scarlet & Violet 151 a good set to collect overall?

Scarlet & Violet 151 is a highly popular set due to its nostalgia factor and strong chase cards like Charizard ex. While some cards have high population counts, the set’s overall demand remains robust, making it a viable collection target, especially for cards with established value and consistent sales.

For more insights into the world of Pokémon card collecting and grading, explore our comprehensive guides. You can delve deeper into the Pokémon Cards hub or learn more about the intricacies of card grading.